Left In Alabama

Dollars per Vote, Dollars per Delegate, New Hampshire Edition

by: herding old cats

Tue Jan 08, 2008 at 23:33:56 PM CST


 Now the New Hampshire primary has come and gone.

The vote totals, from CNN were:

93,617 for Obama

100,541 for Clinton

43,432 for Edwards

11,735 for Richardson

67,749 for Romney

79,350 for McCain

18,413 for Giuliani

16,361 for Paul

23,811 for Huckabee

These are totals with 89% of precincts reporting for both sides - I gotta get up in the morning.  I'll leave the effect of the last 11% to all you political hoot owls. The delegate count used in the calculations below matches CNN's figures.

On the Democratic side, delegates are awarded proportionally with a minimum requirement of 15% to get delegates.  On the Republican side, the delegates are awarded proportionally with a minimum requirement of 10%. New Hampshire has 22 pledged Democratic delegates and 12 pledged Republican delegates.

From Graniteprof, here is what the candidates have spent on TV ads:

Obama: $2.1 million

Hillary Clinton: $1.65 million

John Edwards: $1.2 million

Bill Richardson: $700,000

Mitt Romney: $3.9 million 

 John McCain: $1.1 million

Rudy Giuliani: Just under $1 million

Ron Paul: $270,000

Mike Huckabee: $160,000

Caveat: These are TV ads on WMUR, the only commercial station in New Hampshire with statewide reach.  Part of New Hampshire is in the Boston media market, but I could not find expenditures by the campaigns on Boston stations. These amounts represent only the supposedly less expensive all-New-Hampshire market.  That should make them all apples to apples comparisons, anyway.

 So, we crunch the numbers and we get:

Obama spent $22.43 per vote, Clinton spent $16.41 per vote, Edwards spent $27.63 per vote, and Richardson spent $59.65 per vote. For each delegate, Obama spent $233K, Clinton spent $183K, and Edwards spent $300K.  It looks like Richardson did not get any delegates.

Romney spent $57.75 per vote, McCain spent $13.86 per vote, Giuliani spent $54.31 per vote, Paul spent $16.50 per vote, and Huckabee spent $6.72 per vote.  For each delegate, Romney spent $975K, McCain spent $157K and Huckabee spent $160K.  Giuliani and Paul did not get any delegates.

Of the candidates who did manage to get delegates, Romney is clearly getting the least bang for his megabucks, by quite a margin.  He might as well stand in the median of I-89 burning $50 bills.

herding old cats :: Dollars per Vote, Dollars per Delegate, New Hampshire Edition
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So Rudy and Ron spent a null number of dollars per delgate (4.00 / 1)

or did they spend an infinite amount per delegate?



Infinity? (0.00 / 0)
Dr. Math says any real number divided by zero is undefined, but it's clear to me that zero delegates for a million bucks equals a really teeny, tiny, infinitesimal return on investment.

Work harder and work smarter!

[ Parent ]
Rudy and Ron get different math (4.00 / 1)

Rudy, because his deal with the devil allows him to divide by zero - at least in this world.

Ron, because he has one foot in a parallel universe where dividing by zero is not only possible, it is mandatory. 



"The War in Iraq is not the disease. The War in Iraq is a symptom. Arrogance is the disease" - Bill Richardson

[ Parent ]
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